What does Hezbollah think? .. Saudi Arabia mobilizes its supporters behind Geagea

What does Hezbollah think? .. Saudi Arabia mobilizes its supporters behind Geagea
What does Hezbollah think? .. Saudi Arabia mobilizes its supporters behind Geagea

Maysam Rizk

It was also expected that the head of the “Lebanese Forces” party would respond to the words of the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. The response will be by following the methodology of “listing facts that refute the accusations” and repeating the tone that “Hezbollah has implicated Lebanon in the policy of axes.” What the “wise man” will not say within this narrative is that there is apprehension and caution in Maarab.

As many expected, the head of the Lebanese Forces Party, Samir Geagea, will not delay in responding to the words of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah the day before yesterday regarding the Tayouneh massacre, as he will appear tomorrow evening on MTV to announce his position on the developments. He is settled with someone who used to hold a conference every time to respond to Sayyed Nasrallah, even if it was not his concern. What if he and his party had carried out an ambush on Thursday?

Between the crime and after Sayyid Nasrallah’s speech, many readings, analyzes and conclusions were given to the event, on more than one level: some political ones considered that Geagea today is “the leader of the Christians and his policy mimics their conscience,” while others argue that Nasrallah’s words have turned into a “demonization” process. The forces and their chief, and this is something that serves him and strengthens his position in the Christian street. But Maarab’s opinion is completely different, or it can be described as more cautious.

What the Lebanese Forces have done, as part of their attempt to drag Hezbollah into an internal ambush that threatens civil peace, has come to fruition. It is true that Hezbollah missed the opportunity and prevented, along with its allies, from dragging the country towards a bloody strife, but Maarab “penetrated” it with the outside. First with Western support, and then with Saudi support. In the past two days, the Saudi ambassador in Beirut, Walid al-Bukhari, had nothing but to provide support to the head of the forces, by urging Sunnis, Druze and Christians in Saudi Arabia’s orbit to go to Maarab and launch positions in support of it, or by sending messages to the authorities The security, military, and judicial authorities warn against harming Geagea and his supporters politically, judicially or on the security front.

In response to Saudi pressure, several figures visited Maarab, some secretly, such as former MP Fares Saeed, and others, such as former minister Ashraf Rifi, who expressed to Geagea his fear of not being able to mobilize a large number of people in the Sunni street because of the position of Prime Minister Saad Hariri, promising him to work to activate the movement in Tripoli in support of him, and that he will ask his supporters to raise banners supporting Geagea and denouncing Nasrallah’s words.

And it seems that the matter is not limited to the Saudi side, as Lebanese military sources indicated that contacts took place with the army leadership and the military judiciary by Lebanese figures, including a spiritual authority, asking about the reason for the arrests of members of the forces, some of whom do not live in Ain al-Rummaneh. They have launched a campaign against these arrests.

The message that Maarab wanted reached those concerned with the fact that it was the “daringest” of all the March 14 leaders in whom Washington and Riyadh had invested politically and financially, to engage in the required confrontation with Hezbollah. It seems that the Saudis will lavish a lot on Geagea in the next stage, especially to support his electoral campaign.

However, apart from the price paid by the forces, the apparent “puff” in the positions and behavior of the forces’ officials is not without “fear” expressed by a number of leaders because of what they called “the long-term goal of the campaign launched by Hezbollah and the Amal movement and their going to call things by their names in a statement.” A joint member held the Forces Party responsible” for the Tayouneh crime, in addition to the “indictment document” presented by Nasrallah.

They said that Geagea began preparing for a detailed response to Nasrallah’s speech, and it was agreed on tomorrow’s interview. There was no more than the response of the people of the region to the provocations.” In addition to the “exercise,” he denied any connection with any kind of armament, with a detailed presentation of “Hezbollah’s role and its involvement in other people’s wars and Lebanon’s involvement in the policy of axes.”

However, it was not difficult for those who knew the atmosphere of Maarab to realize that there was something confusing it. The number of 100,000 fighters mentioned by Sayyed Nasrallah, who meant the outside more than the inside, is not the only reason. Maarab is aware, like others, or perhaps more than others, of Hezbollah’s military and non-military capabilities and does not need a battle to prove it. However, her mistrust and warning stemmed from her “lack of knowledge of what Hezbollah is thinking, and where it wants to take its demonization party.” Perhaps what bothers her most is that “Hezbollah, since 2005, has never gone with it to the act of threatening directly, after all the confrontations were political with positions and statements.” In any case, investigations into what happened are continuing, and the forces’ adventure with other rounds may be possible, but in public, the response of the forces and their chief in the coming days “will not go beyond recording a political position.”

But the operational obsession with the leaders of the forces is to work among the people in order to invest what they consider a campaign of intimidation against them. The focus is on making many forces such as the Kataeb and Ahrar parties and forces from civil society stand by them in an alliance that precedes the upcoming parliamentary elections.

Al-Bitar case: A session of the Judicial Council and nothing new
Yesterday, out of the limelight, a meeting of the Supreme Judicial Council was held to discuss the proposal of Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Minister of Justice Henry Khoury to submit proposals to the judicial investigator, Tariq Al-Bitar, after meeting him on Thursday. The sources said that the meeting reviewed all the ideas put forward, and that the result is still the same.
Informed sources said that the head of the Judicial Council, Suhail Abboud, informed the attendees that it was not possible to disqualify Al-Bitar from the investigation file into the port bombing crime, nor to convince him to amend his work mechanism, and that no senior official in the state did not request that, including those objecting to the performance.
In this context, contacts with Al-Bitar denied what was leaked yesterday through Al-Arabiya channel, about his intention to leave Lebanon for France. They said that the judicial investigator “is still on his position, and is continuing his work and investigations, and he will summon MPs Nohad Al-Machnouk and Ghazi Zuaiter to a hearing on Friday, and if they fail to issue arrest warrants against them, as happened with MP Ali Hassan Khalil.”

Accordingly, the Prime Minister will not call for a close session of the government, but he does not show enthusiasm to present proposals to address the objections of Hezbollah, the Amal Movement and the Marada Movement to Judge Al-Bitar. Mikati was quoted as saying that he told his contacts that Lebanon “cannot bear the consequences of external pressures regarding the investigation file, and that interfering in its work will push the major powers to boycott Lebanon and prevent any aid from it.”

Al-Ghobeiri municipality claims against the head of the forces
Al-Akhbar learned that the Ghobeiri municipality, represented by its mayor, Maan Khalil, filed a complaint before the Military Public Prosecution against each of the head of the Lebanese Forces Party, Samir Geagea, and 10 members of the party whose names were circulated in the media, and everyone who appears in the investigation. Armed gang, evil associations and intimidation.” The Ghobeiry municipality took the form of a personal prosecution against these people, against the background of the martyrdom of the municipal policeman, Muhammad Hassan Al-Sayed, and the wife of the martyred Ghobeiry municipality police commissioner, Maryam Farhat, and the shooting of buildings and cars in the municipality, and requested the arrest of the defendants and their referral to the competent judiciary.

 
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