date of publication:
September 27, 2021 23:42 GMT
Update date: September 28, 2021 6:45 GMT
The Omani Meteorological Department said, on Monday, that specialists at the National Center for Early Warning of Multiple Hazards are monitoring indicators that a tropical situation will form in the Arabian Sea at the end of this week.
The Center at the Civil Aviation Authority called on citizens and residents of the Sultanate to follow up on its bulletins and reports.
This is the first tropical state that is expected to form this season in the Arabian Sea, and it is caused by the deepening of a tropical depression that formed in the Bay of Bengal and moved with full force to make its way across India to land in the Arabian Sea.
According to weather experts, an expected fading of shear winds in the low pressure area and the expected path of the pressure focus movement, will increase the chances of the tropical condition getting stronger and developing into a storm that brings heavy thunder rain and strong winds.
According to numerical weather models, there are several possible pathways to the tropical state.
The Arab Weather website said that the great warming in the northern Arabian Sea between India and the Sultanate of Oman passing through the coasts of Pakistan, in addition to the absence of shear winds, will make this region an ideal point for supplying the tropical situation with a large amount of energy, which would support its development and movement towards the Sea of Oman. All numerical models agree that the Sultanate of Oman will be under the direct influence of the tropical situation at the end of the week.
According to the American model, the path of the storm will be more comprehensive, hitting all the Omani coasts, and then moving towards the internal governorates of the Sultanate, bringing with it large amounts of thunderstorms and strong winds. Its path is towards eastern Saudi Arabia and the Empty Quarter.
As for the European model, it is consistent with the expectations of the American model in the comprehensiveness of the impact of the storm on the Omani coasts and the interior, but it expects the storm to move later to southern Oman and away from the UAE and Saudi lands.
As for the British model, it is expected that the storm will hit some coastal areas of the Sultanate of Oman and then continue its path towards the Empty Quarter.
It is natural that the difference between the forecasts of the models regarding the expected path of the storm will remain, but it will begin to agree during the next two days, but the current indicators support that the impact of the storm will be comprehensive to the Omani coasts.